Farming News - Beef boom bottoming out

Beef boom bottoming out

 

The GB all prime indicator in week ending 24 August eased back another 2p on the week with AHDB/EBLEX estimating that numbers forward increased compared to the week before, hence the drop in price.

 

Despite being markedly back on the year, the demand-led downwards pressure on price has resulted in the most significant easing in deadweight cattle prices since 2009, although on average prices are still around 40p/kg up on the year.

 

Despite this, the fundamental supply situation still points to offering support for prices once consumer routines return to a more ‘normal’ pattern in the coming post-holiday period. This is perhaps reinforced by the trend in liveweight prices in the latest week, ended 28 August, which was more encouraging.

 

At 173,200 head for July, prime cattle slaughterings were back 3% on year earlier levels and the sustained increase in heifer slaughterings could indicate a reduction in the number of females being retained for breeding in the UK, a situation which clearly has long term implications for the UK beef industry.

 

Largely on the back of the decreased steer throughputs, all regions of the UK, with the exception of Scotland, recorded reduced availability. And as expected, and for the third month in a row, cull cow and adult bull throughputs were markedly lower in all regions of the UK.

 

With lower cereal prices offering the opportunity for some producers to be able to retain cows on finishing rations, it is likely that the already tight supply of cows may be accentuated further during the autumn.

 

Average carcase weights for all classes of cattle continued to be considerably lower on the year. The combination of lower weights and reduced throughputs meant that beef and veal production in July was back 8% on the year at 75,500 tonnes.

 

With slaughterings of heifers up and reduced cow prices, it will be an interesting time in the beef industry over the coming months to see which direction suckler herds go and how the beef price is affected.